Polling & Politics
After a few difficult years, 2019 turned out to be a wonderful year for British pollsters. Pollsters had a hard time in 2015-17, over-estimating Labour in 2015, mostly missing the narrow Leave victory in 2016,...
UK polls get it right
The snap election held in the UK on 12 December 2019 was an important test for the country’s opinion pollsters. They had widely been regarded as having got it ‘wrong’ in the two previous elections...
Elections in Argentina
We are in a period of renewal and an intense cycle of elections in Latin America with elections in 15 countries in the region between 2017 and 2019. The elections in Latin America are being...
Fake polls – how to spot them?
It isn’t just fake news. There are now multiple examples of fake polls — not just limited to one country, but in several places throughout the world....
Could a census unlock growth in the DRC?
The smoke has now cleared after the elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Felix Tshisekedi is the new president of the second largest country in Africa. Assuming the Congolese electorate voted for change...
Elections in Israel: Forecasting challenges
Elections in Israel are held by law every four years but since 1999, six out of eight elections have been held prematurely due to a variety of political disputes....